Showing posts with label crude trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crude trading. Show all posts

Friday, 11 January 2019

US oil inches down amid concerns of economic slowdown




Oil prices were also supported by comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday that the central bank had the ability to be patient on monetary policy.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures had slipped 23 cents, or 0.4 percent, from their last settlement to $52.36 per barrel by 0016 GMT.

However, US crude was on track for a second consecutive week of gains and its largest weekly percentage increase in more than two years. WTI has climbed about 9 percent so far this week, its biggest weekly rise since December, 2016.

International Brent crude futures had yet to trade.

China said three days of talks with the United States that wrapped up on Wednesday had established a "foundation" to resolve differences over trade. But it gave few details on key issues at stake, including a scheduled US tariff increase on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports.

A partial US government shutdown and tepid economic data in some countries also dragged on broad financial markets.

"The US government shutdown and weak retail sales figures around the world reinvigorated concerns about (economic) growth," analysts at ANZ bank said in a note on Friday.

China's producer prices in December rose at their slowest pace in more than two years, a worrying sign of deflationary risks that could see Beijing roll out more policy support to help stabilise the economy.

"However, investors are becoming increasingly confident that OPEC+ production cuts will balance the market," ANZ said.

Saudi Arabia said earlier this week that supply curbs started in late 2018 by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producers including Russia, would bring the oil market into balance.

"Saudi is turning the screws on export supply in order to re-balance the market in their favour. Prices are maintaining highs which suggests that the recent bullish move is not yet over," said Jonathan Barratt, chief investment officer at Probis Securities in Sydney.

"We expect more bullish rhetoric from OPEC, especially from Saudi Arabia to help shore up the prices. US producers will just enjoy the rise."

The likelihood of supply curbs elsewhere also helped buoy oil markets.

Norway's oil industry regulator said the country's crude output in 2019 would be smaller than previously forecast and at its lowest level in three decades.

Meanwhile, Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said on Thursday US sanctions against his country were "fully illegal" and Tehran would not comply with them.

We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056
Source: Moneycontrol

Thursday, 10 January 2019

US oil export boom sparks a battle to build Texas ports


Booming US oil exports have set off a scramble to build Gulf Coast ports to handle more than 3 million barrels per day in new supplies expected over the next five years.

Of seven proposed oil-export projects, nowhere is the opportunity greater or the competition more fierce than in Corpus Christi, Texas, where three firms are vying to open the state's first deepwater port.

Commodities trader Trafigura has taken an early lead with a planned offshore facility that has an easier path to regulatory approval and faces fewer objections from environmentalists.

Its chief competitor - a partnership of investor Carlyle Group and the Port of Corpus Christi to build an onshore port - has responded by petitioning regulators to kill Trafigura's project. Port lobbyists have cited past criminal allegations involving the firm in other countries and potentially "catastrophic" environmental impacts.

Rising demand for new ports follows a 2015 decision by the US Congress to lift a 40-year ban on crude exports after advances in drilling techniques sparked a rapid rise in domestic shale production - especially in Texas. The United States had been the world's top oil buyer for decades, and its port infrastructure was built to import rather than export.

Now, surging exports threaten to overwhelm existing ports as US production is projected to hit 12 million barrels per day (bpd) this year, up from 9.35 million in 2017.

"We've got a wave of oil headed toward the coast," said Jeremiah Ashcroft III, chief executive of Lone Star Ports LLC, the Carlyle-backed company formed to develop its Corpus Christi project.

Only one US facility, the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, can fully load supertankers capable of carrying 2 million barrels. The Corpus Christi port - the closest to the most prolific shale fields in Texas - exports less than 1 million bpd, and its harbor is too shallow to fully load supertankers.

The market ultimately may support more than one new deepwater port, but the first firm to build near Corpus Christi will have the best shot at cutting long-term deals with producers expected to ship an estimated 2.1 million bpd to the region through new pipelines set to open this year.

"Right now, there's only enough room for one project," Ashcroft said.

Carlyle plans a $1 billion port to handle 1.4 million bpd. Trafigura, which has not disclosed its planned investment in the port, would handle much less, at 500,000 bpd. But Trafigura's operation would siphon off revenue from the Port of Corpus Christi and Carlyle's project because Trafigura would serve shippers offshore, before they reach the harbor.

Carlyle declined to make an executive available for an interview and referred questions to Lone Star. Trafigura said in a statement that its port would leave room for other projects because it would handle only a portion of the expected new oil flows.

A third competitor, pipeline operator Magellan Midstream Partners LP, plans an export terminal on the Corpus Christi harbor, near Carlyle's proposed site.

But Magellan faces a roadblock because port officials last year agreed to work exclusively with Carlyle. Magellan said in a statement that it has not decided whether to build the project.

Companies including Kinder Morgan Inc, JupiterMLP and Tallgrass Energy have also proposed offshore ports along the Gulf Coast.

BRAZIL CHARGES

Carlyle said last October that it could open its facility by late 2020. But that assumes its plan for dredging to accommodate supertankers will not require a full environmental review, which is sought by opponents and could take two years.

As Carlyle and the Port have tried to navigate those obstacles, port lobbyists have petitioned regulators to halt Trafigura's project. In an August letter, the port's law firm called on the US Coast Guard and the Maritime Administration to reject Trafigura's application, citing a "criminal history."

The letter from Baker Wotring LLP pointed to the trader's 2006 guilty plea for selling a US company oil from Iraq that Trafigura falsely claimed had been authorized under a United Nations humanitarian aid program. US companies at the time were barred by government sanctions from buying Iraqi oil except through the program.

After the regulators declined the port's request, its law firm in December raised bribery allegations brought earlier that month by Brazilian prosecutors against two former Trafigura executives. The firm asked regulators to halt Trafigura's work until the allegations were "fully investigated."

Trafigura said in a statement that its management had no knowledge of any improper payments made to employees of Brazil's state-run oil firm Petrobras. Trafigura did not comment on the port law firm citing its guilty plea involving Iraq oil sales.

Last month, five Corpus Christi area lawmakers asked Texas Governor Greg Abbott to veto Trafigura's application on environmental grounds, citing a risk of "catastrophic crude oil spills" and "excessive air emissions."

Federal rules require state governors to sign off on offshore ports. Abbott has made no decision, a spokesman said.

Lone Star's Ashcroft said onshore terminals are safer than offshore projects because oil spills are more easily cleaned up in harbors than in open water. Trafigura said it chose to go offshore to ensure supertankers can safely and efficiently load cargoes and that its application will be reviewed by more than 30 government agencies.

BATTLE FATIGUE

Carlyle is essential to building the Port of Corpus Christi's crude export business. Port officials started pursuing federal approval to dredge its harbor 28 years ago, but Congress only recently approved $59 million, a fraction of what's needed.

"We don't have 28 years; we have two," said Sean Strawbridge, chief executive of the Port of Corpus Christi Authority, referring to its timeline for readying the port for new oil flows.

Port officials last year sought to kickstart the dredging by issuing $217 million in bonds. That money will allow it to start dredging to a 54-foot draft - not deep enough for supertankers.

If Trafigura's port wins approval, it could take business from the Port of Corpus Christi. Port revenues could fall by about 12 percent, estimated investment researcher Morningstar Inc., a loss that could hurt its efforts to finance dredging not covered by the government or Carlyle.

In October, Carlyle agreed to pay an undisclosed sum to cover the dredging needed to get achieve a 75-foot draft in the outer harbor to accommodate supertankers.

'ENVIRONMENTAL DISASTER'

Environmentalists favor offshore ports over what they consider the harmful impact of dredging harbors.

The newly formed Port Aransas Conservancy in south Texas has argued Carlyle's plan would endanger sea turtle nesting areas, dump silt onto nearby islands, and threaten shellfish that reach estuaries through the ship channel.

Trafigura has countered environmental concerns about its offshore operation by proposing to tunnel under sand dunes and wetlands to install a pipeline instead of digging a trench through environmentally sensitive areas.

"Sea turtles are always an issue with dredging" because it brings in salt water, said Jayson Hudson, a regulatory supervisor at the US Army Corp of Engineers, which oversees permitting for Carlyle's project. He called Trafigura's horizontal drilling plan a "good option for avoiding permanent impacts."

Dredging the harbor, by contrast, would have wide-ranging impacts, said John Donovan, president of the Port Aransas Conservancy.

"We're very much against what we consider to be an environmental disaster that the Port's plans for Harbor Island would entail," he said.

We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056
Source: Moneycontrol

Friday, 4 January 2019

Oil slips on economic downturn fears, but OPEC cuts offer support


Oil prices fell on Friday after the United States showed signs of following Asia into an economic slowdown, although supply cuts by producer club OPEC kept declines in check.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $46.71 per barrel at 0117 GMT, down 35 cents, or 0.7 percent, from their last settlement.

International Brent crude futures were down 38 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $55.57 a barrel.

Data for December from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Thursday showed the broadest US slowdown in growth for more than a decade, as the trade conflict with China, falling equity prices and increasing uncertainty started to take a toll on the world's biggest economy.

Despite this, traders said oil prices are expected to receive some support as supply cuts announced late last year by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) start to kick in.

OPEC oil supply fell by 460,000 barrels per day (bpd) between November and December, to 32.68 million bpd, a Reuters survey found on Thursday, as top exporter Saudi Arabia made an early start to a supply-limiting accord, while Iran and Libya posted involuntary declines.

OPEC, Russia and other non-members - an alliance known as OPEC+ - agreed last December to reduce supply by 1.2 million bpd in 2019 versus October 2018 levels. OPEC's share of that cut is 800,000 bpd.

"If OPEC is faithful to its agreed output cut together with non-OPEC partners, it would take 3-4 months to mop up the excess inventories," energy consultancy FGE said.

Considering the planned cuts versus ongoing increases in US crude production, which hit a record 11.7 million bpd by late 2018, FGE said it expected Brent prices to range between $55-$60 per barrel in the first months of 2019.

We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056
Source: Moneycontrol

Thursday, 3 January 2019

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable.


We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056
Source: Moneycontrol

Wednesday, 2 January 2019

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable.


We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056

Tuesday, 1 January 2019

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable.


We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056

Monday, 31 December 2018

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable.


We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.


Contact us @ +91-9644405056

Friday, 28 December 2018

Oil prices slide as concerns about global economy, oversupply weigh


Oil prices fell on Thursday, retreating from an 8 percent rally in the previous session as the oil market focused on signs of faltering global economic growth and record production of crude.

Brent crude futures dropped 4.24 percent, or $2.31, to settle at $52.16 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell $1.61 to settle at $44.61 a barrel, down 3.48 percent.

"The market is giving back some of its gains from yesterday that were brought along with the euphoria in the stock market," said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.

Prices surged on Wednesday, tracking a spike on Wall Street after President Donald Trump's administration attempted to shore up investor confidence.

U.S. stocks retreated for most of the session on Thursday, dragging oil prices, before roaring back to end in positive territory.

Brent and WTI have lost more than a third of their value since the beginning of October and are heading for declines of more than 20 percent in 2018.

Concerns about slowing global economic growth have dampened investor demand for riskier asset classes and pressured crude futures.

Market participants are also worried about a glut of crude.

U.S. crude stocks rose by 6.9 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 21 to 448.2 million, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed on Thursday. Analysts had expected a decrease of 2.9 million barrels.

Official U.S. government data will be released on Friday.

Three months ago it looked as if the global oil market would be undersupplied through the northern hemisphere winter as U.S. sanctions removed large volumes of Iranian crude. But other oil exporters have compensated for any shortfall, depressing prices.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, along with Russia and other producers, agreed this month to reduce output by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), equivalent to more than 1 percent of global consumption.

But the cuts will not take effect until January and oil production has been at or near record highs in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United States, now the world's top crude producer pumping 11.6 million bpd.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said the country will cut its output by between 3 million and 5 million tonnes in the first half of 2019. It then will be able to restore it to 556 million tonnes (11.12 million barrels per day) for the whole 2019, on par with 2018, he added.

Although U.S. sanctions have put a cap on Iran's oil sales, Tehran has said its private exporters have "no problems" selling its oil.

We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056
Source: Moneycontrol

Thursday, 27 December 2018

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable.


We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056

Wednesday, 26 December 2018

US oil prices rebound after tumbling to lowest since June 2017 on economy fears


Oil prices were mixed in thin trading on Wednesday as the US benchmark rebounded from steep losses in the previous session, even though concern over the health of the global economy continued to overshadow the market in the longer term.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, were up 29 cents, or 0.68 percent, at $42.82 per barrel, at 0355 GMT, having at one point risen as high as 2 percent from the last close. They had slumped 6.7 percent in the previous session to $42.53 a barrel - the lowest since June 2017.

Meanwhile Brent crude oil futures were down 11 cents or 0.22 percent at $50.36 a barrel, having skidded 6.2 percent in the previous session to $50.47 a barrel, the weakest since August 2017.

"$50 is a psychological support level (for Brent)," said Margaret Yang, market analyst for CMC Markets in Singapore.

"But market confidence needs to be restored for oil price...that include an equity market rebound and/or a bigger production cut from major oil exporters," Yang said, referring to an OPEC-led agreement to lower output from next month.

Broader financial markets have been under pressure on worries about a global economic slowdown amid higher U.S. interest rates and the U.S.-China trade dispute.

"U.S. equity futures are trading a bit firmer this morning triggering some little buying interest in the oil markets," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at futures brokerage Oanda in Singapore.

But Innes added macroeconomics fears will continue unless the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) "reassures markets the viability of their supply cuts and even impose deeper ones as some members have suggested". OPEC and allies led by Russia agreed this month to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day from January.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday that oil prices would become more stable in the first half of 2019, supported by OPEC and non-OPEC countries' joint efforts to cut output.

Elsewhere, U.S. political turmoil triggered by the partial shutdown of the federal government is also adding to market concerns. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that shutdown could last until his demand for U.S.-Mexico border wall money is met.

We provide you sure shot Commodity & Equity Market Tips, Intraday tips, share market tips, Mcx bullion tipsMcx tips, Crude tips, Stock tips, Future and Cash tips with Technical & Fundamental Research.

Contact us @ +91-9644405056
Source: Moneycontrol