Showing posts with label crude tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crude tips. Show all posts

Tuesday, 28 May 2019

Petrol-Diesel Price 28th May, 2019: फिर बढ़े पेट्रोल-डीजल के दाम, जानिए अपने शहर का हाल


पेट्रोल के दामों में लगातार छठे दिन बढ़ोत्तरी हुई है। 28 मई यानी आज पेट्रोल के दामों में 9 पैसों का इजाफा हुआ है। राजधानी दिल्ली में मंगलवार को पेट्रोल 71.86 रुपए प्रति लीटर मिल रहा है।

वहीं डीजल के दामों में भी पांच पैसों की बढ़ोत्तरी हुई है। आज राजधानी में डीजल 66.69 रुपए प्रति लीटर मिल रहा है। सोमवार को डीजल के दाम स्थिर रहे थे। हालांकि उसके पिछले चार दिनों में डीजल में लगातार बढ़ोत्तरी जारी थी।

मुंबई में भी पेट्रोल की कीमतों में नौ पैसे की बढ़ोत्तरी के साथ पेट्रोल 77.47 रुपए प्रति लीटर मिल रहा है। वहीं डीजल की कीमत में पांच पैसों की बढ़ोत्तरी के बाद डीजल की कीमत 69.88 है। चेन्नई में पेट्रोल नौ पैसों की बढ़ोत्तरी के साथ 74.60 रुपए और डीजल छह पैसों की बढ़ोत्तरी के साथ 70.51 रुपए प्रति लीटर बिक रहा है। कोलकाता में पेट्रोल नौ पैसों की बढ़ोत्तरी के साथ 73.92 रुपए और डीजल पांच रुपए की बढ़ोत्तरी के साथ 68.40 रुपए प्रति लीटर बिक रहा है।

इस महीने फ्यूल प्राइस में बढ़ोत्तरी हुई है लेकिन भारत में पेट्रोल-डीजल की कीमतें अपेक्षतया सामान्य रही हैं।

सभी तेल कंपनियों के पेट्रोल पंपों पर तेल की कीमतें एक जैसी ही हैं। तेल की कीमतें हर रोज अंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजार के रुख के हिसाब से बदलती हैं। कीमतों में बदलाव हर रोज सुबह 6 बजे होता है। इसलिए पेट्रोल पंप पर जाने से पहले एक बार पेट्रोल की कीमतें चेक जरूर कर लें।

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Brent oil firms above $70 as OPEC cuts and sanctions outweigh economic concerns

Front-month Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $70.14 at 0218 GMT, 3 cents above the last session's close, when Brent rose 2.1%.


Brent crude oil prices consolidated above $70 per barrel on Tuesday as supply cuts led by producer club OPEC and U.S. sanctions on Iran's and Venezuela's fuel exports outweighed concerns about an economic slowdown.

Front-month Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $70.14 at 0218 GMT, 3 cents above the last session's close, when Brent rose 2.1%.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $59.21 per barrel, up 58 cents or 1% from their last close on Friday. WTI did not trade on Monday due to a public holiday in the United States.

Prices have been supported by supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) since the start of the year.

OPEC and some allies including Russia are due to meet on June 25 and 26 to discuss output policy going forward.

"Supply-side issues returned to the fore, with crude oil prices rising strongly," ANZ bank said on Tuesday.

Beyond the OPEC cuts, U.S. sanctions on petroleum exports from Iran and Venezuela have also tightened markets.

"Iran exports remain under pressure as U.S. sanctions bite. This comes as OPEC appears to be heading towards extending the current production cut agreement," it added.

Trump last year withdrew the United States from a 2015 international nuclear deal with Iran, and Washington is ratcheting up sanctions seeking to end Iran's international sales of crude oil and strangle its economy.

Washington has also imposed sanctions on Venezuela's oil exports, in a bid to topple the government under President Nicolas Maduro there.

Despite this, markets remain cautious amid an economic slowdown as a result of the ongoing trade war between the United States and China, which is also expected to dent fuel consumption.

Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at futures brokerage OANDA said the trade frictions meant "oil's recovery is fragile."

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Monday, 21 January 2019

Oil dips as China's economy slows but OPEC-led cuts support


Oil prices dipped on Monday as China reported its weakest annual economic growth in 28 years, although oil prices remain relatively well supported by supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

International Brent crude oil futures were at $62.57 per barrel at 0215 GMT, down 13 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last close.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 11 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $53.69 a barrel.

China's economy grew by 6.6 percent in 2018, its slowest expansion in 28 years and cooling from a revised 6.8 percent in 2017, official data showed on Monday. China's September-December 2018 growth was at 6.4 percent, down from 6.5 percent in the previous quarter.

The slowing growth in China, which has generated nearly a third of global growth in the past decade, is stoking worries about risks to the world economy and are weighing on profits for firms ranging from Apple to big carmakers.

"The global outlook remains murky, despite emerging positives from a dovish Fed (now boosting US mortgage applications), faster China easing (China credit growth stabilizing) and a more durable US-China truce," US bank J.P. Morgan said in a note.

Despite this, analysts said supply cuts led by OPEC would likely support crude oil prices.

"Brent can remain above $60 per barrel on OPEC+ compliance, expiry of Iran waivers and slower US output growth," J.P. Morgan said.

It recommended investors should "stay long" crude oil.

Researchers at Bernstein Energy said the supply cuts led by OPEC "will move the market back into supply deficit" for most of 2019 and that "this should allow oil prices to rise to US $70 per barrel before year-end from current levels of US$60 per barrel."

In the United States, energy firms cut 21 oil rigs in the week to Jan. 18, taking the total count down to 852, the lowest since May 2018, energy services firm Baker Hughes said in a weekly report on Friday.

It was biggest decline since February 2016, as drillers reacted to the 40 percent plunge in US crude prices late last year.

However, US crude oil production still rose by more than 2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2018, to a record 11.9 million bpd.

With the rig count stalling, last year's growth rate is unlikely to be repeated in 2019, although most analysts expect annual production to average well over 12 million bpd, making the United States the world's biggest oil producer ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Thursday, 17 January 2019

Record US crude production weighs on oil prices


Oil prices dipped on Thursday as US crude production quickly approached an unprecedented 12 million barrels per day (bpd) just as worries about weakening demand emerge.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $52 per barrel at 0140 GMT, down 31 cents, or 0.6 percent, from their last settlement.

International Brent crude oil futures were down 34 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $60.98 per barrel.

American crude oil production reached a record 11.9 million bpd in the week ending Jan. 11, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, up from 11.7 million bpd last week, which was already the highest national output in the world.

US output has soared by 2.4 million bpd since January 2018, stoking fears of a supply glut.

The EIA also said gasoline stockpiles climbed 7.5 million barrels last week, far exceeding analyst expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.8 million-barrel gain. At 255.6 million barrels, gasoline stocks were at their highest weekly level since February, 2017.

"While (US crude) inventories fell slightly more than expected, there was a large build in gasoline inventories. This stoked fears of weak demand in the US," ANZ Bank said in a note.

Distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 3.0 million barrels, versus expectations for a 1.6 million-barrel increase, the EIA data showed.

US EXPORTS SURGE, OPEC CUTS

Along with the surge in US crude output, exports from the United States are also rising, hitting a record 3.2 million bpd by the end of last year.

"Crude oil exports from the US have strongly increased during the last few years and the trend is expected to remain positive," shipping brokerage Banchero Costa said in a note.

Norbert Ruecker, head of commodity research at Swiss Julius Baer, said "the United States is moving forward towards energy independence and is set to become a petroleum net exporter next year thanks to rising shale output".

Soaring US supply comes amid concerns over stuttering demand-growth due to a global economic slowdown, which some analysts believe will turn into a recession.

To stem a lurking petroleum glut, the Middle East-dominated Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producer Russia are leading efforts to cut supply.

This has prevented crude prices from falling much lower despite softening demand and the surge in US output.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Friday, 11 January 2019

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable. 

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Source: Moneycontrol

Wednesday, 9 January 2019

US oil prices rise above $50 on trade talk hopes


US crude oil prices on Wednesday rose above $50 per barrel for the first time in 2019 on hopes that Washington and Beijing can resolve a trade dispute that has triggered a global economic slowdown.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $50.14 per barrel as at 0021, up 36 cents, or 0.7 percent from their last settlement.

International Brent crude futures had yet to trade.

"The mood was ... boosted by signs of further progress in trade talks between the US and China," ANZ bank said on Wednesday.

The world's two biggest economies will continue trade talks in Beijing for an unscheduled third day on Wednesday, US officials said, amid signs of progress on issues including purchases of US farm and energy commodities and increased US access to China's markets.

State newspaper China Daily said on Wednesday that Beijing is keen to put an end to its trade dispute with the United States, but that it will not make any "unreasonable concessions" and that any agreement must involve compromise on both sides.

If no deal is reached by March 2, Trump has said he will proceed with raising tariffs to 25 percent from 10 percent on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports at a time when China's economy is slowing significantly.

Oil prices have also been receiving support from supply cuts started at the end of 2018 by a group of producers around the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as well as non-OPEC member Russia.

"Crude oil prices continued to march higher, with investors becoming increasingly confident that the OPEC cuts would tighten the market," ANZ said.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Friday, 28 December 2018

Today Crude Updates Trading Rules


Buy Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crosses the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from below, signals for a uptrend.

SELL Signal: When all the mcx crude oil short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross the long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) from above, signals for a downtrend.

Trend Strength: Another application of Guppy multiple moving average system is to analyze the strength of the current trend in crude oil. If the EMA lines of short term and long term moving averages are wide separated by a uniform distance then the trend in crude oil is seen as stable. If there's no wide separation, then the prevailing trend is weak and vulnerable.


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Source: Moneycontrol

Wednesday, 26 December 2018

US oil prices rebound after tumbling to lowest since June 2017 on economy fears


Oil prices were mixed in thin trading on Wednesday as the US benchmark rebounded from steep losses in the previous session, even though concern over the health of the global economy continued to overshadow the market in the longer term.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, were up 29 cents, or 0.68 percent, at $42.82 per barrel, at 0355 GMT, having at one point risen as high as 2 percent from the last close. They had slumped 6.7 percent in the previous session to $42.53 a barrel - the lowest since June 2017.

Meanwhile Brent crude oil futures were down 11 cents or 0.22 percent at $50.36 a barrel, having skidded 6.2 percent in the previous session to $50.47 a barrel, the weakest since August 2017.

"$50 is a psychological support level (for Brent)," said Margaret Yang, market analyst for CMC Markets in Singapore.

"But market confidence needs to be restored for oil price...that include an equity market rebound and/or a bigger production cut from major oil exporters," Yang said, referring to an OPEC-led agreement to lower output from next month.

Broader financial markets have been under pressure on worries about a global economic slowdown amid higher U.S. interest rates and the U.S.-China trade dispute.

"U.S. equity futures are trading a bit firmer this morning triggering some little buying interest in the oil markets," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at futures brokerage Oanda in Singapore.

But Innes added macroeconomics fears will continue unless the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) "reassures markets the viability of their supply cuts and even impose deeper ones as some members have suggested". OPEC and allies led by Russia agreed this month to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day from January.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday that oil prices would become more stable in the first half of 2019, supported by OPEC and non-OPEC countries' joint efforts to cut output.

Elsewhere, U.S. political turmoil triggered by the partial shutdown of the federal government is also adding to market concerns. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that shutdown could last until his demand for U.S.-Mexico border wall money is met.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Monday, 24 December 2018

Oil market likely to rebalance early 2019: OPEC ministers


Oil ministers from leading OPEC nations said on Sunday they expect prices will arrest their recent slide and rebalance early next year, when a deal on new production cuts takes effect.

Oil prices have shed more than 36 percent since early October to trade at $54 (47 euros) per barrel, due to fears of oversupply and weak global demand.

But president of OPEC and UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei said that the surplus in the oil market was small compared to 2017 and expected it to vanish in one or two months.

"Based on available figures, we have around 26 million barrels of surplus ... compared to 340 million barrels in early 2017," Mazrouei told a press conference in Kuwait City.

"I think that we can easily do with this surplus and reach market rebalance in one or two months... in the first quarter of next year," he said.

OPEC -- a cartel of producer countries that has long manipulated output of the commodity, to influence global prices in members' favour - and non-OPEC members agreed in early December to trim production by 1.2 million barrels a day from January 1, in a bid to shore up sagging prices.

Mazrouei said that there has been higher than anticipated supply on the market in recent months, as US sanctions on Iran have had a less pronounced effect on the country's oil exports than had been expected.

Iraq's Oil Minister Thamer al-Ghadhban said that there is a consensus among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to comply with the new agreement to trim output in a bid to stabilise the market.

He said the new agreement is valid for six months and the ministers will meet in April to assess the impact of the cuts.

Ghadhban said he believes that the new measures taken by producers will "stop the slide in oil prices." Mazrouei said that producers are ready to renew the agreement or increase cuts in case the market does not balance.

"If the production cuts of 1.2 million barrels a day is not enough, we will meet again to see what is enough and apply it," he said.

During their meeting next April, the producers are also expected to sign a long-term agreement to formalise cooperation between OPEC and non-OPEC members over oil output.

OPEC has lately been cooperating closely with Russia and other non-cartel producers, in a bid to impose greater control over global output and prices.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Oil eases on oversupply concerns ahead of holiday


Oil prices dipped on Monday ahead of the Christmas holiday break, adding to last week's steep losses on concerns about a global oversupply.

International benchmark Brent crude futures fell 27 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $53.55 a barrel at 0106 GMT. Brent touched $52.79 on Friday, its lowest since September 2017.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures eased 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $45.51 a barrel. WTI hit its lowest since July 2017 on Friday at $45.13.

Rising oil supplies and a slowing global economy have put crude oil under pressure, with both benchmarks down more than 35 percent from their recent peaks in early October.

Oil production has been at or near record highs in major producers the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia.

To ease supply worries, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies including Russia agreed earlier this month to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd).

The cuts will take place from January.

Should they not be enough to balance the market, OPEC and its allies will hold an extraordinary meeting, the United Arab Emirate's energy minister Suhail al-Mazrouei said on Sunday.

"Oil ministers are already taking to the airwaves with a 'price stability at all cost' mantra," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at futures brokerage Oanda in Singapore.

The UAE minister "left all options on the table by suggesting that OPEC can hold an extraordinary meeting to discuss finding the right balance," Innes added.

Mazrouei said a joint OPEC and non-OPEC monitoring committee would meet in Baku in late February or early March.

Adding to concerns about oversupply, the number of active US rigs for drilling oil rose by 10 in the week ended December 21 to 883, according to a report by General Electric Co's Baker Hughes energy services firm.

The United States has emerged as the world's biggest crude producer, pumping 11.6 million bpd of crude, more than both Saudi Arabia and Russia.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Thursday, 20 December 2018



Saudi Arabia's finance minister said on Wednesday he was unconcerned with current oil prices impacting spending plans in 2019, and the government still aims to close its budget deficit by 2023 though the target is not set in stone.

Mohammed al-Jadaan told Reuters cash settlements from an anti-corruption campaign, which generated 50 billion Saudi riyals ($13.3 billion) in 2018, would net "not significantly less" in 2019.

The authorities have said they expect to confiscate more than $100 billion overall from a purge of princes, ministers and business tycoons ordered by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November 2017.

"We have a figure for the budget, but I can't tell you what it is. It's what we received from the attorney general as most likely to be coming our way," Jadaan said in an interview at Riyadh's Ritz-Carlton Hotel, where suspects in the corruption sweep were held for up to three months.

For three years - ever since Riyadh ran an eye-popping deficit of 367 billion riyals ($98 billion) in 2015, threatening its financial stability - fiscal policy focused to a large extent on reassuring markets by cutting the deficit.

Under an ambitious reform plan aimed at ending dependence on crude, the world's top oil exporter is seeking a balanced budget by 2023.

The government unveiled a 1.11 trillion Saudi riyal ($295 billion) budget on Tuesday, the kingdom's largest, with a seven percent increase in state spending to spur economic growth and a projected deficit of 4.2 percent of GDP.

"We are still targeting 2023, but what I'm saying is we need to realize that it is not set in stone," Jadaan said. "What's the point of having a balanced budget on 23 specifically? It could be 22, it could be 24. We want to be disciplined, we want to be efficient and pro-growth."

He said the ministry plans to borrow more locally than internationally, and would issue bonds mainly in US dollars but is considering venturing into other currencies including euro and yen.

Asked about the impact of lower oil prices on spending, Jadaan said: "Until today we are comfortable" and "even in the worst case scenario we are still relatively comfortable" given the kingdom's significant reserves and low debt to GDP ratio.

Saudi Arabia does not disclose the oil price assumptions on which its planning is based, but economists have estimated the 2019 budget implied Brent at $70-71 per barrel with oil production at 10.2 million barrels per day.

Oil stabilised on Wednesday after one of its biggest falls in years, but remained under pressure from oversupply and concern a slowing global economy would depress demand.

CORRUPTION SETTLEMENTS

Jadaan said seized assets were being managed and valued by a ministry-owned company, Istidama, run by a committee chaired by the commerce minister and with no connection to the sovereign wealth body, the Public Investment Fund.

"Some of them are liquid assets, so they liquidate them when the market is right. Some of them are more sticky assets in real estate and other private investments that they will then consider what are they going to do with," he said.

Construction giant Saudi Binladin Group (SBG), in which the government took a roughly one-third stake under the campaign, will soon have a "normal board" with family members and representatives of government ownership, according to Jadaan.

A five-member committee charged with restructuring the company's governance "is about now to conclude," most likely in 2019, he said. "It's a transition. That committee is just a temporary supervisory committee until the governance is sorted out."

Asked about the possibility of listing SBG on the stock market, he said: "A company with this kind of business you can't list for some time. It will need some time to go through restructuring, make it more business ready."

Reuters reported in September that the family-run company had ended up on a collision course with the government after chairman Bakr Binladin and his shareholder brothers resisted earlier pressure to list.

Other businessmen rounded up in the corruption sweep have ceded shares in publicly-listed companies among other settlements.

Among those detained was billionaire investor Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, who said in March he had reached an agreement with the government for his release, without disclosing details of the "confirmed understanding".

Asked about the government's seizure of shares in publicly-traded companies under corruption settlements, Jadaan said: "If it is not on Tadawul (stock exchange), we don't own it."

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Source: Moneycontrol

Oil prices resume drop, shed most of last session's gains


Oil prices fell on Thursday to erase most of their gains from the day before, resuming declines seen earlier in the week amid worries about oversupply and the outlook for the global economy.

The front-month US crude contract had dropped more than $1, or 2.24 percent, to $47.10 per barrel by 0423 GMT, offseting gains of 96 cents chalked up on Wednesday.

International benchmark Brent crude futures were down over $1, or 1.82 percent, at $56.20 per barrel, after climbing almost 2 percent the session before.

"Wednesday's recovery was short-covering. Investors quickly moved their attention to deteriorating fundamentals in the oil markets including more signs of slowing economic growth next year, record production and the lack of confidence with OPEC's pledge to curb production," said Xi Jiarui, chief oil analyst at consultancy JLC.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other oil producers including Russia agreed this month to curb output by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in an attempt to drain tanks and boost prices.

Oil prices are down more than 30 percent from peaks seen in October.

But the cuts will not happen until next month and production has been at or near record highs in the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Khalid al-Falih, said he expected global oil stocks to fall by the end of the first quarter, but added that the market remained vulnerable to political and economic factors as well as speculation.

Technical analysis showed US oil may retest support at $45.94 per barrel, a break below which could cause a loss to $44.43, Reuters market analyst Wang Tao wrote on Thursday.

SQUARING UP

Volatility in crude prices this week has driven investors to shut their positions and is draining liquidity from the market, Xi said.

Total market open interest in US crude contracts had fallen to 2.063 million contracts as of Thursday, up from a record of 2.71 million in May.

"It has been a tumultuous week in oil markets and traders may opt to shut it down after the last big risk event of the year with year-end position-squaring likely to kick-in today," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at OANDA.

Innes was referring to the US Federal Reserve's last policy meeting of 2018, at which it suggested the US economy no longer needed the central bank's support either through lower-than-normal interest rates or by maintaining a massive balance sheet.

But US inventory data offered some support to WTI prices.

US crude inventories fell by 497,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 14, the US Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, smaller than the decrease of 2.4 million barrels analysts had expected. The decline was the third consecutive decrease.

Distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, fell by 4.2 million barrels, versus expectations of a 573,000-barrel increase, the EIA said.

Distillate demand rose to the highest since January 2003, which bolstered buying, particularly in heating oil futures, the market's proxy for diesel.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Wednesday, 19 December 2018

Global Markets: Asia braces for Fed as plunge in oil boosts bonds


Asian share markets played second fiddle to bonds on Wednesday as a spectacular fall in the price of oil fanned speculation the US Federal Reserve might be done with tightening after its policy meeting later in the day.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 0.2 percent in hesitant early trade. Japan's Nikkei eased 0.1 percent, while E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 inched up 0.17 percent.

Oil stole the show as a glut of supply saw US crude sink 8 percent overnight, while Brent shed almost 6 percent. US crude was last changing hands at $46.30 a barrel having hit its lowest since August 2017.

Brent's 35 percent plunge since October is sending a disinflationary pulse through the world at a time when trade and economic activity are already cooling.

That has only added to pressure on the Fed to abandon its commitment to yet more hikes.

US President Donald Trump on Tuesday warned the central bank not to "make yet another mistake", while the Wall Street Journal wrote an editorial calling for a pause.

So far, the futures market is sticking with a two-in-three chance of a rate increase on Wednesday.

"Despite recent market volatility we think that it is still more likely than not that the Fed will raise rates," said ANZ senior economist Tom Kenny.

"But we lean slightly towards the Fed removing the reference to the need for "further gradual increases"."

He also expects the median Fed forecast, or dot plots, to drop to two rate rises next year, from the three projected back in September. The market is well ahead of that and pricing in less than one rise in 2019.

Talk of a dovish turn helped Wall Street steady and the Dow ended Tuesday up 0.35 percent. The S&P 500 edged up 0.01 percent and the Nasdaq 0.45 percent.

BOND BONANZA

Stocks were left in the dust by bonds as 10-year Treasury yields hit their lowest since August at 2.8190 percent, near a major chart level at 2.80 percent.

Yields on two-year US notes fell 4 basis points to a three-month trough of 2.656 percent, a massive turnaround from November's 2.977 percent peak.

Japanese 10-year bond futures likewise started Wednesday at their highest since August 2016.

Reasons for the rally were easy to find. The latest survey of fund managers globally from BofA Merrill Lynch showed the third biggest decline in inflation expectations on record, while just over half expected the world economy to slow next year.

Investors rushed into bonds, with the largest ever one-month rotation into fixed-income assets, while cutting equities.

"Investors are close to extreme bearishness," said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofAML. "All eyes are on the Fed, and a dovish message could equal a bear market bounce."

The steep drop in Treasury yields undermined one of the US dollar's major props and pulled its index back to 97.000, from a recent 97.711 top.

It fell to 112.46 yen, from a 113.70 high last week, while the euro nudged up to $1.1374  from a $1.1266 low.

In commodity markets, gold held near its recent five-month peak as the dollar eased and the threat of higher interest rates waned. Spot gold stood at $1,248.85 per ounce.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Oil prices climb after tumble on hint markets stabilizing



Oil prices rebounded on Wednesday after falling for the past three sesssions with worries about oversupply and a slowing global economy keeping markets under pressure though sentiment may be shifting as falling equity markets seemed to stabilize.

West Texas Intermediate futures (WTI) climbed 4 cents, or 0.09 percent, to $46.28 per barrel by 0443 GMT, after plunging 7.3 percent the day before in a session when it touched its lowest since August 2017.

Global benchmark Brent crude futures rose 0.4 percent, or 23 cents, at $56.49 per barrel. It dropped 5.6 percent on Tuesday, at one point hitting a 14-month low.

WTI prices are holding as "traders look for some solace in US equity markets as risk sentiment appears to be stabilising," said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at OANDA

"But we are far removed from any bullish flip in investor sentiment."

The S&P 500 ended up slightly on Tuesday and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.35 percent as both indices ended losing streaks.

Further adding to the oversupply concerns, the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday US crude stocks rose unexpectedly last week, while gasoline inventories increased.

If the build in crude stockpiles is confirmed by US government data Wednesday, it will be the first increase in three weeks.

Meanwhile, analysts said that upcoming output cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) had so far failed to stimulate the market as they were not due to kick in until next month.

Output from de facto OPEC leader Saudi Arabia as well as the United States and Russia - leading producers outside the group - has been at or near record highs.

The US government said shale production is expected to climb to over 8 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time by the end of December.

Russian oil output is so far this month at a record 11.42 million bpd, an industry source told Reuters.

However, there were some factors tightening supply, with Libya's state oil company declaring force majeure at the country's largest oilfield.

That came a week after the firm announced a contractual waiver on exports from the field following its seizure by protesters.

Elsewhere, a speech marking 40 years of market liberalisation by Chinese President Xi Jinping offered no specific support measures for the second-largest economy, disappointing investors who were expecting fiscal policy loosening and a tax cut.

China's Shanghai crude futures fell 5.8 percent to trade at 389.4 yuan ($56.53)per barrel on Wednesday, the lowest since their launch in March.

Oil market investors were also turning their attention to the outcome of a two-day meeting of the US Federal Reserve that is due to end on Wednesday.

The Fed is expected to raise US interest rates for the fourth time this year though the central bank may temper the outlook for further increases in 2019 due to concerns about the economy.

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Source: Moneycontrol