Hold tight! Nifty on track to climb Mount 13K in 2019

The market looks ripe for a major up move in 2019. The lower trajectory of crude price, low inflation regime, softening of sovereign yields, relatively stable currency after the mayhem in INR and partial recovery in the domestic earnings (ex-PSUs) are healthy signals for the market.

On the fiscal front, while revenue-expenditure trends haven’t been optimal so far, the government has reiterated its commitment to meeting the Budget target.

Correction in stock prices, especially in the midcap and small-cap space, in the last many months, has cleaned-up excesses from the secondary market.

While some global issues like trade war will be niggle on-and-off but may not dramatically escalate to impact markets. The fear of slowdown and President Trump’s anti-hike comments may hard-press the US Fed to pause the monetary tightening process.

Indian equity attractiveness is high, vis-à-vis fixed income, gold, and property. It’s possible to see the Nifty hit the 13,000 mark in 2019 itself.

Here is a list of top 5 stocks which could give 20-40% return in the next 1 year:

KNR Construction: Buy| Target: Rs 260| LTP: Rs 199| Upside: 30%

We are upbeat on infra spending in the year 2019. KNR has an order book that’s 3x its current revenues. Track record of timely completion of projects, HAM or hybrid annuity model order wins and P/E of 10x FY20 earnings. The one-year target for the stock is placed at Rs260.

Aarti Industries: Buy| LTP: Rs 1,431| Target: Rs 1,750| Upside 22%

Tailwinds in the chemical sector will continue given issues in China. Capacity de-bottling and visibility of revenue makes Aarti, a specialty chemical company, our favourite. The stock is trading at ~23x FY20 P/E and the valuations are fairly attractive. One-year target price Rs1,750.

Britannia Industries: Buy| LTP: Rs 3,122| Target: Rs 37,80| Upside 21%

Health volume growth, focus on premium product adoption by customers, expansion of capacities, increasing distribution reach and adding geographies overseas and moderate commodity price outlook will help Britannia grow 20 percent on a YoY basis. With valuation at 42x FY21E, our one-year target price is Rs3,780.

Asian Paints: Buy| LTP: Rs 1,356| Target: Rs 1,750| Return 29%

Continued dominance in the decorative segment, ongoing expansion to double capacity in a phased manner and traction in industrial and automotive coatings segments through joint ventures makes the company a safe and steady bluechip to be invested in.

We expect 19 percent CAGR in profits between FY18-22. The stock trades at P/E of 46x FY20 earnings. The one-year target price is placed at Rs1750.

Reliance Industries: Buy| LTP: Rs 1,090| Target: Rs 1,500| Return 37%

JIO’s industry beating performance in Telecom raises hope of similar performance in other digital ventures. We’re upbeat on improving fortunes of its retailing business and strong earnings growth in core businesses of refining and petchem on account of petcoke gasification and off-gas cracker. Trades at 15x FY20 earnings. One-year target price 1500.

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Source: Moneycontrol

These 8 stock trading ideas could return 5-14% in 6 months

After witnessing a blockbuster November, the Sensex and Nifty have fallen around 800 points and 300 points, respectively, in December so far. The sudden fall opened up room for both buy-side and sell-side trading ideas.

The Indian market witnessed profit booking in the first week of December, thanks to weak global cues, uncertainty around results of assembly elections in five states due next week, and the rupee depreciating vis-à-vis

the dollar.

The selling pressure may persist in the coming week and investors are advised to remain cautious. Bulls will only be able to take control once the Nifty reclaims its 200-DMA, which is placed at around 10,750 on a closing basis, experts suggest.

"The Nifty has formed a rising wedge pattern on the daily chart and has also broken down from the same. This indicates that the short term trend has once again broken," Hadrien Mendonca, Senior Technical Analyst at IIFL, told Moneycontrol.

"In addition, Nifty has also breached below its long-term 200-DEMA. For any kind of positive momentum to resume, Nifty has to re-enter the rising Wedge and also close above the 200-DEMA of 10700," he said.

Here are 8 stock trading ideas that could return 5-14% in the next 1-6 months:

Analyst: Hadrien Mendonca, Senior Technical Analyst, IIFL

Bajaj Finserv: Sell| LTP: Rs 5,673| Target: Rs 5,375| Stop Loss: Rs 5,802.5| Return: 5%

The stock has been consolidating for the past three trading sessions and has finally broken down from the rising channel pattern seen on the daily chart.

Our weekly chart analysis indicates that the stock is on the verge of forming a ‘Bearish Engulfing pattern’. The stock has also broken below its long-term 200-DEMA further accentuating our bearish stance on the stock in the near-term.

Ashok Leyland: Sell December Futures| LTP: Rs 101.90| Target: Rs 95| Stop Loss: Rs 105.5| Return: 6% 

The stock has been under pressure for the past four weeks and has finally broken down from a Descending Triangle pattern on the daily chart.

The stock has also broken below its short-term moving averages indicating further downside cannot be ruled out.

Jindal Steel: Buy| LTP: Rs 149.40| Target: Rs 164| Stop Loss: Rs 142| Return: 10%

The stock has fallen significantly in the past four weeks and has now reached its falling trendline support zone. It has also formed a ‘Hammer’ candlestick pattern on the daily chart giving early signs of a short-term reversal. The risk-to-reward ratio also seems to be in favor of the bulls. Investors can hold longs with a mentioned stop loss on a closing basis.

Analyst: Aditya Agarwal, Head of Technical Research, Way2Wealth Brokers

PVR: Buy above Rs 1,531| LTP: Rs 1,489| Target: 1,700| Stop Loss: Rs 1,428| Return: 14%

Looking at the weekly chart, the stock has been correcting in a ‘Downward Sloping Channel’ pattern since the beginning of May 2017. Subsequently, the stock formed strong base near 1100 – 1060 zone and rebound sharply.

As a result, PVR broke the upper band of the channel pattern which led to a breakout. The weekly RSI (14) entered above the 60 level which supports our hypothesis.

Hence, we advocate traders to buy this stock above 1531 with a price target of 1700 and a stop loss placed below 1428.

Reliance Industries: Sell at Rs 1,130-1,140| LTP: Rs 1,123| Target: Rs 1,050-1,016| Stop Loss: Rs 1,187| Return: 6%

After forming a ‘Bullish Divergence’ in the month of October; 2017, stock saw decent run up and tested 1180 – 1190 zone.

Looking at the daily chart, the said zone coincided with the 50% retracement of its entire fall from the top of 1329 to the bottom of 1016.40.

During Thursday’s trade, Reliance broke the upward sloping trend line drawn from the swing low of 1016.40 which indicate that the stock is likely to resume its downtrend.

Hence, we recommend traders to go short in this counter in a range of 1130 – 1140 with a down side target of 1050 first and in case of further pessimism stock can retest its bottom of 1016. A stop loss for short positions should be placed above 1187.

Disclaimer: Reliance Industries Ltd. is the sole beneficiary of Independent Media Trust which controls Network18 Media & Investments Ltd.

Voltas: Sell at 537| LTP: Rs 538| Target: 480| Stop Loss: Rs 570| Return: 11%

Looking at the daily chart, the stock reversed after testing its 200-DMA during November 20, 2018. Subsequently, stock descended and broke the upward sloping trend line join from the bottom of its swing low of 472.25.

The daily RSI (14) reversed after testing the 60 levels. Also, the weekly Lower Top Lower Bottom formation is intact. Hence, we recommend traders to go short in this counter at the current level of 537 with a downside price target of 480. A stop loss should be placed above 570 on a closing basis.

Analyst Name: Dharmesh Shah – Head Technical, ICICI Direct.com Research

ABB: Buy| LTP: Rs 1,399| Target: Rs 1,550| Stop Loss: Rs 1,315| Return 11%| Time Frame: 6 months 

The share price of ABB has been oscillating in an upward sloping channel over the past two years (drawn adjoining lows of January - December 2016 of 955 -1018, respectively).

Recently, the prices retraced 80% of the last leg of the up move (1129 – 1517), placed at 1206 levels coinciding with the lower band of the rising channel. As a result, the stock formed a higher low, signifying the conclusion of an ongoing corrective phase.

Going ahead, we expect the stock would hold the key value area of Rs 1320-1330 and resolve higher, as it is the lower band of the last two week’s consolidation and 50 days EMA placed around 1316 levels.

Among momentum oscillators, the weekly 14-periods RSI has been inching upward after recording bullish crossover, indicating an acceleration of positive momentum in the short term.

Based on the above technical evidence, we believe that the stock is likely to continue with its positive momentum and head towards 1550 in the medium-term as it is the price parity of the August-September 2018 up move (1150 to 1517) added to the October 2018 low of 1190 project upside towards 1550 levels.

Marico: Buy| LTP: Rs 359| Target: Rs 410| Stop Loss: Rs 329| Return: 14%| Time Frame: 6 months

Marico is one of India's leading consumer products companies operating in the beauty and wellness space. Copra, which accounts for 45-50 percent of the company’s material costs, is a key raw material used to make coconut hair oil.

We believe the fall in copra prices from Rs 144.33 per kg from January 2018 peak to 91.65 per kg in October 2018 augurs well for Marico.

The share price of Marico has undergone periodic secondary phases of consolidation during a multi-year secular up move. Prices have been forming higher peaks & troughs on weekly charts as buying demand emerged from key value area of 285.

We believe that the past six quarters of healthy consolidation (285-385) has set the stage for the next leg of the up move. Hence, this offers a fresh entry opportunity from a medium-term perspective

The last three years price action has been captured in a well-defined upward sloping channel (drawn adjoining lows of November 2015-November 2016 of 189 and 235 projected from August 2016 at 307).

The lower band of the rising channel is placed around 330 levels which also coincides with the 50% retracement of the last leg of the up move (295–369) also placed at 332 levels.

In a nutshell, we expect the stock to resolve higher from here on and head towards 410 as it upper band of the upward sloping channel which also coincides with the 123.6% external retracement of last decline (388–283), placed around 412 levels.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Buy or sell: Top stock trading ideas by market experts which are good short-term bets

Nervousness ahead of exit polls and results of five state elections and consistent global weakness spooked markets on December 6. The Nifty fell below 10,600 level and the Sensex shed over 600 points intraday. The rupee's depreciation by 43 paise against the US dollar also dented market sentiment.

The exit poll of state elections will be announced on the evening of December 7 immediately after the voting in Rajasthan and Telangana. Final results will be declared on December 11.

The cautious trend is expected to continue ahead of elections results, experts said, adding if the Nifty index closes below 10,500 in coming sessions, then there could be a further correction.

The Nifty50 after a sharp gap-down opening extended losses as the day progressed and fell below 10,600 levels to hit an intraday low of 10,588.25. The index closed 181.70 points or 1.69 percent lower at 10,601.20, forming bearish candle on the daily charts.

The exit poll of state elections will be announced on the evening of December 7 immediately after the voting in Rajasthan and Telangana. Final results will be declared on December 11.

The cautious trend is expected to continue ahead of elections results, experts said, adding if the Nifty index closes below 10,500 in coming sessions, then there could be a further correction.

The Nifty50 after a sharp gap-down opening extended losses as the day progressed and fell below 10,600 levels to hit an intraday low of 10,588.25. The index closed 181.70 points or 1.69 percent lower at 10,601.20, forming bearish candle on the daily charts.

India VIX has moved up by 5.62 percent to 19.42 levels. The VIX is not ready to cool down and its hovering at a higher band suggests restricted upside and volatile swings in the market, experts said.

According to Pivot charts, the key support level is placed at 10,552.03, followed by 10,502.87. If the index starts moving upward, key resistance levels to watch out are 10,686.53 and then 10,771.87.

The Nifty Bank index closed at 26,198.30, down 321.30 points on December 6. The important Pivot level, which will act as crucial support for the index, is placed at 26,111.83, followed by 26,025.37. On the upside, key resistance levels are placed at 26,322.33, followed by 26,446.37.

Here are the top stock trading ideas which can give good returns in the near term:

Vinay Rajani of HDFC Securities

Buy State Bank of India with target at Rs 308 and stop loss at Rs 273

Buy Hero MotoCorp with target at Rs 3250 and stop loss at Rs 2910

Buy Kotak Mahindra Bank with target at Rs 1325 and stop loss at Rs 1160

Rajesh Agarwal of AUM Capital

Buy Sun Pharmaceutical Industries with stop loss at Rs 412 and target of Rs 431

Buy Bharat Petroleum Corporation with stop loss at Rs 320 and target of Rs 332

Buy Greenply Industries with stop loss at Rs 132 and target of Rs 145

Buy Birla Cable with stop loss at Rs 188 and target of Rs 204

Buy Sun TV Network with stop loss at Rs 578 and target of Rs 610

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Source: Moneycontrol

Ahead of Lok Sabha polls, govt wants online retailers to go desi

The government is making every possible effort to promote indigenous manufacturing, at a time when American companies such as Walmart and Amazon have almost entirely captured the Indian e-commerce space.

The government has started meeting e-commerce companies like Snapdeal and Amazon and asking them about ways in which they can promote local manufacturers on their platforms, sources told Moneycontrol.

Since the Lok Sabha elections are just 6 months away, many may see this as an appeasement tactic. But for e-commerce players that have a lot of local merchants selling on their platforms, this would be music to the ears.

“We want to promote local manufacturers. For instance, a brass product seller from Moradabad (in Uttar Pradesh) should be able to sell their products on online portal for wider reach,” a senior government official told Moneycontrol on the condition of anonymity.

"E-commerce firms have already begun outreach programme that will ensure that a local manufacturer knows about the procedures as well as formalities that will enable him to sell his items online," the source said.

The development comes at a time when the government is working on preparing a new e-commerce policy. The new policy will supersede Press Note 3, which was introduced by the Modi government in 2016.

Press Note 3 bars e-commerce companies from generating more than 25 percent of their business from any individual seller on their platforms.

Companies such as Flipkart and Amazon have always had preferred vendors on their sites such as WS Retail and Cloudtail India, respectively, from which they generated the lion's share of their business earlier.

However, offline sellers claim that even after the policy was framed in 2016, not much changed in the way e-commerce companies went about their business.

These companies still have a list of preferred vendors that account for a  majority of their businesses, which in turn impacts the livelihood of local and small traders and manufacturers.

"The preset online companies are dismantling the business of local manufacturers and traders through their predatory pricing, loss funding and deep discounting," said Praveen Khandelwal, Secretary General of Confederation of All India Traders.

This push by the government is likely to give a fresh lease of life to these manufacturers and traders.

“The proposed move of the government is to restructure and strengthen the retail trade of India and also develop a robust e-commerce policy,” said an executive at of one of the companies that the government met with.

The government has asked e-commerce companies to create outreach programs to ensure that more and more local manufacturers and sellers can be brought on to the online platforms with an aim to increase their incomes.

However, this is not the first time that the government is trying to be vocal about its push for manufacturing in India.

In July, it came up with the first leg of the draft e-commerce policy, which talked about allowing e-commerce companies that have FDI of up to 49 percent to switch from a marketplace model to an inventory-led model.

The idea was to promote the sale of domestically-produced goods on online platforms under the government’s Make in India initiative by allowing B2C online retail companies to keep limited inventory.

However, offline traders didn't take to the proposal kindly and criticised it for acting as a backdoor entry for FDI in B2C retail.

Even last month, at the Moneycontrol Wealth Creator Awards, Commerce and Industry Minister Suresh Prabhu spoke about the need to promote domestic e-commerce companies and the Make in India program.

“We want to promote e-commerce domestically as much as possible. Some companies have made monopolistic tendencies among e-commerce companies from different countries. We should not lose out to them. We want our companies to get the opportunity, grow and become global,” he said.

The minister added that currently, India's share of manufacturing and industry was less than 20 percent, which should ideally be at least 25 percent.

According to Prabhu, many Chinese companies are moving out of China because it is no longer stable for them to manufacture there economically. That becomes an opportunity for India to gain from.

The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), headed Prabhu is giving final touches to the draft e-commerce policy, which is expected to be finalised this month.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Rupee opens lower by 28 paise at 69.87 per dollar

The Indian rupee opened lower by 28 paise at 69.87 per dollar on Monday versus Friday's closing 69.59.

Rupee rose for the third successive session primarily as global crude oil prices came under pressure but had restricted as the dollar weakened against its major crosses. Oil prices fell further on Friday as swelling inventories depressed sentiment despite widespread expectations that OPEC and Russia would agree some form of production cut this week. OPEC and its main partner Russia are due to meet in Vienna on Dec. 6 and 7 to agree production strategy, said Motilal Oswal.

On the domestic front, market participants will be keeping an eye on the RBI policy meeting, where the central bank is expected to hold rates unchanged.

On Friday, data showed India’s economy grew 7.1 percent in Q2 compared to growth of 8.2 percent in the previous quarter. Today, USD-INR pair is expected to quote in the range of 69.70 and 70.30, it added.

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Source: Moneycontrol

Market Headstart: Nifty likely to open above 10,900; 3 stocks that could return 3-5%

The Nifty is likely to open higher on Monday, tracking the positive trend seen in other Asian markets. The index closed 18 points higher at 10,876 on Friday.

Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat-to-positive opening for the index in India, at around 8 points or 0.07 percent higher. Nifty futures were trading around 11,636 on the Singaporean exchange.

Wall Street rose on Friday as investors hoped for progress on trade in a critical US-China meeting over the weekend, and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq posted their biggest weekly percentage gains in nearly seven years, Reuters reported.

Asian shares rallied on Monday after US and Chinese leaders brokered a truce in their trade conflict, a relief for the global economic outlook and a tonic for emerging markets.

Stocks in the news:

The country's largest lender State Bank of India (SBI) has put up three of its non-performing loan accounts for sale to recover dues of Rs 2,110.71 crore.

Tata Motors on December 1 reported a 3.8 percent decline in domestic sales to 50,470 units in November, as compared to 52,464 in the same month last year.

The country's largest two-wheeler maker Hero MotoCorp on December 1 reported a marginal increase in its sales to 6,10,252 units in November.

Maruti Suzuki India, India's largest passenger carmaker, on Saturday reported a marginal drop in domestic sales of passenger cars in November to 129,837 units, against 130,732 a year ago.

Technical Recommendations:

We spoke to 5nance.com and here's what they have to recommend:

V-Guard Industries: Buy | Target: Rs 221 | Stop-Loss: Rs. 195 | Return 5%

IndusInd Bank: Buy| Target: Rs 1714 | Stop-Loss: Rs 1595 | Return 3%

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries: Sell| Target: Rs. 469 | Stop-Loss: Rs. 502| Downside: 3%

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Source: Moneycontrol

Bulls vs Bears on expiry day: Nifty fell 7 times in past 10 months, will today be different?

Nifty 50 has rallied by about 5.4 percent so far in November series and is on track to post highest gains since January series when the index rallied about 5.6 percent. But, talking specifically about the expiry day, historical data suggests that bears took control of D-Street in 7 out of the last 10 months.

Last 10 months data of 2018 suggests that Nifty slipped in the red on 7 out of last 10 expiry days. The index saw a cut of 0.98 percent in October, followed by 0.77 percent fall on June expiry day, and 0.69 percent drop seen in September and March.

The index rose by about 1.15 percent on May expiry day, followed by 0.45 gain seen in April and 0.32 upside recorded on July expiry day. 

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Yes Bank falls over 6% as Rentala Chandrashekhar a 3rd member resigns from board

Yes Bank shares slipped as much as 6.5 percent in morning on Tuesday after the third board member resigned on Monday.

The private sector lender informed exchanges that Rentala Chandrashekhar, Independent Director has tendered his resignation from the bank's board, with immediate effect, due to personal reasons.

It was the third member to resign from the bank's board after Vasant Gujarathi and Ashok Chawla tendered their resignation as an independent director and non-executive (independent) chairman of the board on November 14.

Yes Bank said the Nomination & Remuneration Committee of the bank will look for a suitable replacement in the field of information technology and cyber security.

The resignation has been taking place especially after the RBI asked Rana Kapoor to step down as MD & CEO in January and reaffirmed that a successor to Kapoor should be appointed by February 1, 2019.

Selection Committee' has mandated Korn Ferry to assist the Committee in evaluating both internal and external candidates and make suitable recommendations to the Board of Directors within stipulated timelines for RBI's final approval. The bank's appointed committee is targeting to complete this recruitment process latest by mid December 2018.

The stock corrected 48 percent in last three months, especially after RBI's decision to change MD & CEO.

At 09:58 hours IST, the stock was quoting at Rs 198.65, down Rs 6.40, or 3.12 percent on the BSE.

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HEG gains 5% as board to consider share buyback proposal

Share price of HEG gained 5 percent intraday Tuesday as company to consider proposal of share buyback.

The company's board meeting is scheduled to be held on November 26 to consider the proposal for buyback of the equity shares of the company.

The trading window for dealing in the equity shares of the company shall remain closed from November 20 to 28, 2018 (both days inclusive).

At 09:35 hrs HEG was quoting at Rs 4,371.15, up Rs 109.65, or 2.57 percent on the BSE.



The share touched its 52-week high Rs 4,950 and 52-week low Rs 1,570.75 on 16 October, 2018 and 05 December, 2017, respectively.

Currently, it is trading 11.62 percent below its 52-week high and 178.52 percent above its 52-week low.

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India's top hedge fund turns to PSU banks as bad loans wane

MUMBAI: India's top hedge fund is exploring opportunities in state-run banks, a sector shunned by most investors till now, as valuations turn attractive and the backlog of bad loans that have riddled lenders start to dwindle.

State-run banks will also benefit if the economy continues to grow at about 7 percent, Andrew Holland, chief executive of Avendus Capital Public Markets Alternate Strategies LLP, said at the Reuters Global Investment 2019 Outlook Summit.

Bad loans at Indian banks reached a record $150 billion at the end of March with state-run banks accounting for the lion's share. But the bad debt is declining, Indian Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said in September.

"I think we're coming to the end of the cycle in terms of the bad loans," Holland said, although he added that he would only buy state-run banks for short periods, because their management remained a concern.

"I still take the view that the management of PSU banks change too quickly," Holland said. "So, you never really do a good job over a short period."

"I'll be renting rather than owning them in 2019," said Holland, who manages over $900 million in two key funds.

The state-run banking index has dropped nearly 25 percent in the past 12 months.

Holland said he turned bullish for the first time last month after being "pretty negative from the global and local perspective" for most of the year. A correction since September has made valuations "more compelling", he said.

Broader Indian markets hit a record high in August but have since plunged nearly 10 percent. Liquidity concerns at non-banking finance companies caused a credit crunch that spooked investors. 

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Market to see stability in Nov, time to accumulate quality stocks like HDFC Bank: Anand Rathi

Fall in crude prices by more than 20% has been a huge relief to the Indian equity markets. This will help the market stabalise and address a lot of macro-economic concerns directly and indirectly — like inflation, interest rates and  current account deficit, among others.

The retail inflation data has been encouraging at 3.31% which is way lower than the RBI’s medium-term target. This will give RBI room to hold interest rates.

The 10-Year bond yields have also softened from the high’s of about 8.20% few months ago to 7.75% giving some relief to the banking/NBFC sector.

We expect the Indian equity markets to stabilise in November till the state election results are out in early December.

Investors can accumulate quality stocks like –

HDFC Bank | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 2,420

HDFC Bank reported steady Q2FY19 operational performance. NIM expanded ~10 bps QoQ and was flat YoY at 4.3%. Core fee income growth at 26% YoY continued to remain strong deriving strength from retail fees including cards, third-party insurance, other retail and cash management.

Bank has continued to gain market share in key businesses led by digital sourcing and deeper penetration improving product delivery and cost control which has led the bank to reach historic low C/I of 39.9% in Q2FY19.

HDFC Bank has raised Rs240bn of fresh equity in H1FY19, which will support its loan growth in the coming years.

Further, we expect HDFC Bank to be a major gainer of the current crisis in the NBFC space as it has best-in-class liability franchises along with superior customer outreach across business segments.

Asian Paints | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 1,471

The company has to its credit a leadership position in its market, proven track record of adapting to changes in market conditions, a professional management, history of innovative strategies in marketing, efficient manufacturing and logistics in place and prudent financial management.

In its latest financial results, APNT has reported a growth of 8.8% in revenues at ₹46,391 million in Q2-FY19 as against ₹42,652 million in Q2-FY18.

In terms of growth, we continue to expect Indian paints industry to grow at around 8%-12% in next few years and demand factors remain strong in terms of growth.

Aarti Industries | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 1,600

One of the global leaders in benzene-based chemistry through its process chemistry and scale-up engineering competencies, Aarti Industries’ revenue and profit are expected to grow at 20% and 22% CAGRs over FY18-21, driven by scale-ups in its specialty chemical and pharmaceutical businesses and the new toluene capacity.

For Q2 FY19, Aarti’s revenue shot up 46.4% y/y to Rs. 1290 Cr, chiefly due to strong volume growth and the increasing share of high-value products.

The specialty chemicals, pharmaceuticals and home- and personal-care divisions brought respectively 80.0%, 14.8% and 5.2% to revenue. The good performance and higher capacity utilisation boosted the EBIDTA margin 58bps y/y to 18.6%. Thus, due to the good operational performance, PAT swelled 56.6% y/y to Rs. 120 Cr.

Its capex of ~Rs. 1700 Cr in the next three years, strong operating performance of all divisions, focus on R&D and strong relationships with clients would shift growth to a higher trajectory in future.

We maintain our Buy rating, with a target price of `1,600 a share. At this price, the stock is valued at a PE of 31x FY19e and 21x FY21e.

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Source: Equitypandit

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आज होने वाली आरबीआई की मौद्रिक नीति समिति की बैठक से पहले शेयर बाजार में मजबूत शुरुआत हुई है।

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आज सभी क्षेत्रों के शेयर सूचकांक हरे निशान में खुले हैं, जिनमें धातू, पीएसयू बैंक और ऊर्जा शेयरों में सर्वाधिक बढ़त है। इससे पहले अमेरिका और चीन के बीच व्यापार तनाव कम करने को लेकर बातचीत शुरू होने की खबरों से अमेरिकी और एशियाई बाजारों में मजबूती आयी है।

बीएसई सेंसेक्स (Sensex) 37,606.58 के पिछले बंद स्तर की तुलना में 37,643.87 पर खुल कर 9.20 बजे के करीब 74.09 अंक या 0.20% की मजबूती के साथ 37,680.68 पर है। वहीं एनएसई का निफ्टी (Nifty) 11,356.50 के पिछले बंद स्तर के मुकाबले 11,359.80 पर खुल कर 22.25 अंक या 0.20% की तेजी के साथ 11,378.25 पर चल रहा है।

वहीं प्रमुख सूचकांकों के विपरीत छोटे-मॅंझोले बाजारों में वृद्धि दिख रही है। बीएसई मिडकैप में 0.62% और बीएसई स्मॉलकैप में 0.54% की बढ़त है। जबकि निफ्टी मिड 100 में 0.52% और निफ्टी स्मॉल 100 में 0.55% की बढ़त है। इस समय निफ्टी के 50 में से 35 और सेंसेक्स के 31 शेयरों में से 24 शेयर मजबूत स्थिति में है।

4.90% की बढ़त के साथ सूचीबद्ध हुआ इंडोस्टार कैपिटल फाइनेंस (Indostar Capital Finance)

गैर-बैंकिंग वित्तीय कंपनी इंडोस्टार कैपिटल फाइनेंस (Indostar Capital Finance) के शेयर ने आईपीओ (IPO) इश्यू भाव के मुकाबले बीएसई पर 4.90% की बढ़त के साथ शुरुआत की है।

कंपनी का शेयर 572 रुपये के ऊपरी इश्यू भाव के मुकाबले 600 रुपये पर सूचीबद्ध हुआ है।

गौरतलब है कि 09 से 11 मई तक खुले आईपीओ के जरिये कंपनी ने 1,800-2,000 करोड़ रुपये जुटाने का लक्ष्य रखा था। कंपनी के आईपीओ (IPO) इश्यू को 6.74 गुना आवेदन प्राप्त हुए थे। इश्यू से पहले कंपनी ने एंकर निवेशकों से 553 करोड़ रुपये प्राप्त किये थे। आईपीओ इश्यू में 700 करोड़ रुपये के नये शेयर जारी किये गये, जिसमें 10 रुपये प्रति वाले इक्विटी शेयरों के लिए 570-572 रुपये का प्राइस बैंड तय था।

आईपीओ के माध्यम से प्राप्त पूँजी का इस्तेमाल इंडोस्टार कैपिटल फाइनेंस भविष्य की पूँजीगत जरूरतों को पूरा करने के लिए करेगी। इसके इश्यू में जेएम फाइनेंशियल, कोटक महिंद्रा कैपिटल, मॉर्गन स्टेनली इंडिया, मोतीलाल ओसवाल इन्वेस्टमेंट एडवाइजर्स और नोमुरा फाइनेंशियल एडवाइजरी इश्यू की प्रबंधक रहीं। (शेयर मंथन, 21 मई 2018)

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टाटा स्टील (Tata Steel) ने बढ़ायी सुबरनरेखा पोर्ट (Subranrekha Port) में हिस्सेदारी

टाटा स्टील (Tata Steel) ने सुबरनरेखा पोर्ट (Subranrekha Port) में अतिरिक्त हिस्सेदारी खरीदी है।

टाटा स्टील ने 2008 में शुरू हुई सुबरनरेखा पोर्ट में अतिरिक्त 4.19% हिस्सेदारी खरीद कर अपनी शेयरधारिता 7.06% तक बढ़ा ली। सुबरनरेखा बंदरगाह तैयार करने के लिए सुबरनरेखा पोर्ट को ओडिशा सरकार और क्रिएटिव पोर्ट डेवपलमेंट (Creative Port Development) ने मिल कर शुरू किया था।

दूसरी तरफ बीएसई में टाटा स्टील का शेयर 601.70 रुपये के पिछले बंद स्तर के मुकाबले 609.00 रुपये पर खुला है। सुबह पौने 10 बजे यह 1.80 रुपये या 0.30% की हल्की मजबूती के साथ 603.50 रुपये पर चल रहा है।

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एशियाई बाजारों की सुस्ती के बावजूद भारतीय बाजार में अच्छी शुरुआत

कल अमेरिकी बाजार के ऊपरी स्तरों से फिसलने और आज सुबह एशियाई बाजारों में सुस्त शुरुआत के बावजूद भारतीय बाजार शुरुआती कारोबार में थोड़ी मजबूती दिखा रहा है।

पहले आधे घंटे के कारोबार में सेंसेक्स और निफ्टी में आधा फीसदी से कुछ कम की बढ़त चल रही है। सुबह करीब 9.35 बजे बीएसई सेंसेक्स (BSE Sensex) 151 अंक या 0.45% की मजबूती के साथ 33,940 पर है। एनएसई निफ्टी (NSE Nifty) 40 अंक या 0.39% की बढ़त दर्ज कर 10,420 पर है।

छोटे-मँझोले सूचकांक भी लगभग इसी तरह की चाल दिखा रहे हैं। बीएसई मिडकैप और स्मॉलकैप दोनों में लगभग आधा फीसदी बढ़त है। यही हाल एनएसई के मिडकैप और स्मॉलकैप सूचकांकों का है। क्षेत्रीय सूचकांकों में मेटल में 1.7%, रियल्टी में 0.98% कैपिटल गुड्स में 0.97%, बैंकिंग सूचकांक में 0.80%, हेल्थकेयर में 0.71%, आईटी में 0.60% और टेलीकॉम में 0.40% की बढ़त चल रही है। तेल-गैस क्षेत्र का सूचकांक 0.40% गिरावट पर है।

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अमेरिकी बाजार की तेजी पर एफबीआई छापे से फिरा पानी

सोमवार को अमेरिकी बाजार में एक अच्छी-खासी तेजी चल रही थी और एक समय डॉव जोंस इंडस्ट्रियल एवरेज (Dow Jones industrial average) 440 अंक तक चढ़ गया था।

मगर इसके बाद अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति डोनाल्ड ट्रंप के निजी वकील पर एफबीआई के छापे की खबर आने से आखिरी समय में बाजार की तेजी गायब हो गयी। अमेजन और बोइंग जैसे बड़े शेयरों के फिसलने से भी बाजार की तेजी पर असर पड़ा। इन सबके चलते डॉव जोंस 46.34 अंक की हल्की बढ़त के साथ 23,979 पर बंद हुआ। एसऐंडपी 500 (S&P 500) भी 9 अंक या 0.33% चढ़ कर 2,613 पर बंद हुआ। नैस्डैक कंपोजिट (NASDAQ Composite) 35 अंक या 0.51% की मजबूती दिखाते हुए 6,950 पर बंद हुआ। हालाँकि दिन के ऊपरी स्तरों पर एसऐंडपी 500 में 1.9% और नैस्डैक कंपोजिट में 2.3% तक की उछाल चल रही थी। (शेयर मंथन, 10 अप्रैल 2018)

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Ripples Advisory, Tata Motors to probe leakage of price sensitive information

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on Tuesday directed Tata Motors to conduct an inquiry into the leakage of unpublished price sensitive information relating to financials prior to their official announcement in the stock exchanges.

The SEBI order comes after it probed the leakage of Tata Motors financial numbers for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 on Whatsapp groups ahead of its filing with the stock exchanges.

According to SEBI, the financial numbers of Tata Motors for the quarter ended December 31, 2015 was officially announced to the stock exchanges on February 11, 2016 at 15.16 hours.

But the financial numbers matching that of the results for the quarter ended on December 31, 2015 were in circulation on Whatapp group since 12.29 hours.

The SEBI had directed Tata Motors to conduct an internal inquiry into the leakage of unpublished price sensitive information relating to its financial results and take appropriate action against those responsible.

The market regulator said the scope of such inquiry shall include and not be limited to determination of the possible role of following persons in relation to the aforesaid leakage of unpublished price sensitive information:

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